Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.454894 1.778756 2.188623 2.758069 3.550159 4.648018e+00 6.353275
2025-01-26 1.089770 1.482332 2.063801 3.042989 4.782540 8.075166e+00 15.931200
2025-02-02 0.876837 1.278487 1.940454 3.225292 6.016478 1.312433e+01 41.502562
2025-02-09 0.720052 1.099139 1.770933 3.215668 6.892666 1.912277e+01 108.754093
2025-02-16 0.602339 0.949187 1.596284 3.097729 7.429931 2.572306e+01 309.077000
2025-02-23 0.534728 0.869447 1.526903 3.177787 8.651231 3.985376e+01 2379.772703
2025-03-02 0.488395 0.817718 1.497069 3.341598 10.426289 6.903170e+01 NaN
2025-03-09 0.441672 0.755545 1.427074 3.363426 11.754742 1.115397e+02 NaN
2025-03-16 0.394019 0.683271 1.316761 3.217045 12.166373 1.545830e+02 NaN
2025-03-23 0.370012 0.655338 1.303551 3.375474 14.610249 3.418219e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 0.343703 0.618316 1.259514 3.411451 16.502739 7.487895e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.315415 0.573108 1.185498 3.307618 17.279633 1.422729e+03 NaN
2025-04-13 0.291437 0.535107 1.125062 3.240953 18.458503 3.746361e+03 NaN
2025-04-20 0.282954 0.530633 1.153546 3.554555 24.602872 5.383916e+06 NaN
2025-04-27 0.271596 0.517928 1.156636 3.769784 31.167645 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.255256 0.491433 1.114646 3.755462 34.748776 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.237520 0.459682 1.051605 3.609431 35.664201 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.227230 0.444777 1.036736 3.708009 42.706969 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.219887 0.436189 1.039687 3.910537 55.186304 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.209735 0.419489 1.013886 3.937582 63.894820 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.196820 0.394632 0.957825 3.756442 63.726718 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.191362 0.388204 0.961276 3.952516 84.224855 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.183862 0.375772 0.942512 3.997146 100.201829 NaN NaN